Speculators Betting Sugar Will Bring Sweet Returns When Saturn Enters Libra

Add to Google Published by WallStreetWeather.net
Beyond sweetening drinks, candy, and ice cream, sugar is an ingredient in more food products and restaurant menu items than most people realize.

Raw sugar prices have climbed to a three year high as bad weather threatens crop yields in Brazil and India, the world’s largest sugar producers.

In “Sugar prices head towards the sky,” the Financial Times reports that traders are betting that “the physical market will be at its tightest between November and April. They forecast that the price peaks will be seen in the ICE March 2010 raw sugar contract.”

What’s interesting is that the planetary picture correlates to traders’ bullish sentiment.

Sugar is ruled by Venus, the planetary ruler of Taurus and Libra. From October 29, 2009 to April 8, 2010,* Saturn will be in Venus-ruled Libra. Saturn represents limitations and constraints, increasing the potential for “a global deficit of historic proportions” forecast by Barclays Capital soft commodities analyst Nicholas Snowdon.

Saturn creates harsh weather conditions. Since September 2007, Saturn has been in Virgo, an earth sign ruling the harvest. With Saturn opposing Uranus, the planetary energy of extreme conditions from autumn 2008 through mid-2010, weather conditions have either been too wet or too dry in many key crop growing regions. With Uranus in water sign Pisces, the sugar crop is suffering from too much wet weather in Brazil versus a lack of monsoon rains in India’s key sugarcane growing region.

Saturn opposing Uranus not only reflects weather conditions of the opposite extremes, but also represents sharp price movements in both extremes that have occurred in agricultural and other commodities such as crude oil since autumn 2007. Saturn in Libra challenging Pluto in Saturn-ruled Capricorn on November 15, 2009 and January 31, 2010 is likely to result in price increases that get passed on to consumers.

Pluto rules taxes, and Saturn challenging Pluto will give greater momentum to taxing sugar laden beverages and sweets. Excess sugar creates obesity and diabetes, a Venus ruled dis-ease. Virgo rules health and dietary matters. Saturn in Virgo is an excellent time for people to work on greatly reducing excess sugar from their diet. Then during Saturn in Libra we can fully savor the occasional indulgence of sharing a sweet treat with that special someone.

*Due to Saturn appearing to move retrograde from Earth’s vantage point, Saturn will re-enter Virgo from April 8 to July 22, 2010. Saturn will then remain in Libra until October 6, 2012.

Healthcare Reform: President Obama vs. Blue Dogs, Elephants, Six Hypocritical Senators, United Healthcare, and a Fraudulent Former Hospital CEO

Add to Google Published by WallStreetWeather.net
The United States was born with aggressive and impulsive Mars in Gemini challenging addictive and illusionary Neptune in Virgo. Neptune represents the nation’s mythology and propaganda. The USA is a nation with multiple myths and addictions, specifically relating to guns, drugs, health and dietary issues.

With his Mars in Virgo exactly conjoining the USA Neptune, President Obama has put his energy and efforts into dissolving the barriers that prevent millions of Americans from obtaining access to health insurance. But shattering the Neptunian illusions is not easy when the politicians and the special interests that finance them are spreading propaganda like a virus. With his Mars harmonizing with Saturn in Capricorn, President Obama has the patience and perseverance to prevail.

Gemini and Virgo are ruled by Mercury (communication), which is located in the area of the USA chart representing insurance. The USA’s Mercury in Cancer opposing Pluto in Capricorn describes the hidden motives of the powerful and wealthy corporate interests to keep the public thinking that as bad as things are now, they would be worse after reforms have been implemented.

Medicare was enacted in 1965 when Saturn (status quo) opposed Uranus (reform). Now that Saturn and Uranus are once again in opposition, President Obama has recognized that “the stars are aligned to enact healthcare reform for all Americans.

Republicans signaled their opposition to healthcare reform that would eliminate the current system’s problems that I described in “The Healthcare Haves Don’t Realize Their Risks.” On July 17, four Democrats (Nelson, Lieberman, Landrieu, Wyden) and two Republican (Snowe, Collins) Senators sent a letter to Senate Majority Leader Reid requesting to slow down the pace of the legislative process.

Despite their concerns about the cost of reform, every Senator except Lieberman was born with either the Sun challenging Jupiter (Landrieu, Snowe) or Mars challenging Jupiter (Collins, Nelson, Wyden). These Senators have a greater tendency to engage in extravagant and wasteful spending and accept generous donations for their own political power and pet causes than exhibiting fiscal restraint. The Senators are acting hypocritical, whitewashing their real motives by claiming they’re now fiscal crusaders. “Independent Democrat” Sen. Lieberman was born with Mars conjoining Saturn and Uranus. This indicates he is more of a war hawk than a fiscal hawk who will break with tradition when it suits his personal agenda. Each of the six senators has received in excess of $1 million from the health and insurance industries during their political careers.

The same day the six Senators sent their letter, Republican Sen. Jim DeMint participated in a conference call with Conservatives For Patients Rights, a non-profit group founded by former Columbia/HCA hospital CEO Richard L. Scott. Scott was ousted as CEO in 1997 after the hospital chain plead guilty and agreed to pay the Justice Department $1.7 billion for filing fraudulent claims to state and federal government health plans.

On the conference call, DeMint declared it is “D-Day for freedom in America. If we’re able to stop Obama on this it will be his Waterloo. It will break him.” With his Mars in Leo conjoining President Obama’s Sun, DeMint is ready for battle. DeMint’s Uranus conjoins the USA Sun in Cancer, identifying with the nation’s freedom loving self-identity. His “Health Care Freedom Plan” is a copycat to all the other “plans” put forward by the GOP which utilizes buzzwords like “freedom,” “choices,” “free market” and “government takeover” as part of their subliminal propaganda message. With the USA Sun and Mercury in Moon-ruled Cancer, and the USA Moon in Uranus-ruled Aquarius, Americans tend to be very emotionally sensitive to extreme rhetoric. So it’s important for Americans to use their “independent spirit” by thinking about the risks under the current system and conducting their own research on healthcare reform, since the news networks have a vested interest in keeping the healthcare industry and political ad revenues flowing.

And as far as research goes, beware when a politician or The Wall Street Journal quotes studies by the Lewin Group that “millions* of people will lose their health insurance if healthcare reform is passed.” The media fails to disclose that the Lewin Group is part of health insurer United Healthcare (UNH).

And then there are the “Blue Dogs” who are barking up the wrong tree. While in public they’re claiming to work on reducing the costs of healthcare reform, behind the scenes the Blue Dog Democrats are trying to broker deals that increase healthcare costs by earmarking larger government payments to hospitals and other medical providers in their districts. The Center For Responsive Politics has compiled a list on the money each of the Blue Dogs has received from the healthcare industry. Rep. Mike Ross, a former pharmacy owner, heads the Blue Dogs Task Force on Healthcare. Born two days before President Obama, Ross has Mercury in Cancer opposite Saturn in Capricorn, giving him a much more conservative and rigid outlook than the President.

Saturn in Virgo conjoining President Obama’s natal Mars reflects the “frustration” the President has admitted to feeling from people who seek to block his efforts for reform. As Saturn in Virgo conjoins the USA Neptune in late August and Saturn opposes Uranus in mid September, the call for reform will regain momentum. Healthcare reform legislation has got delayed, but not derailed.

*The number varies by politician. Today Rep. Mike Pence, the Chairman of the House Republican Conference, was on MSNBC and quoting the Lewin Group study at “114 million.”

No disclosure.

USA: July 4, 1776 5:10 PM Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
President Obama: August 4, 1961 7:24 PM Honolulu, Hawaii

The Six Senators: (birth times unknown)
E. Benjamin Nelson: May 17, 1941 McCook, Nebraska
Susan M. Collins: December 7, 1952 Bangor, Maine
Mary L. Landrieu: November 23, 1955 Arlington, Virginia
Joseph I. Lieberman: February 24, 1942 Stanford, Connecticut
Olympia J. Snowe: February 21, 1947 Augusta, Maine
Ron Wyden: May 3, 1949 Wichita, Kansas

Sen. Jim DeMint: September 2, 1951 time unknown Greenville, South Carolina
Rep. Mike Ross: August 2, 1961 time unknown Texarkana, Arkansas

The Healthcare “Haves” Don’t Realize Their Risks

Add to Google Published by WallStreetWeather.net
Politicians and the special interests that support them want to scare the public into believing that healthcare reform will bring rationing, yet they refuse to admit that our current system operates under extreme rationing. By covering certain groups of people through employer-based plans, Medicare for seniors, and Medicaid for the poor, the healthcare industrial complex can lull a large enough population of so-called “haves” into mistakenly believing that as bad as the system is now, they’ll end up with less if major reforms are instituted.

Separating the reality from the rhetoric, the people who perceive they have the most to lose by healthcare reform would actually stand to gain by it. So let’s start with the so-called “haves” – people who have employer-sponsored insurance to understand how vulnerable they really are.

Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance:
For all the speculation about employers dropping coverage if health reform is instituted, employees should understand that an employer is under no obligation whatsoever to provide health insurance to its workers under our current system. Employers can drop coverage at any time. In a tough economic climate where there are far more workers than jobs to fill them, employers know they could easily find people who would accept a job without health coverage.
One of the favorite buzzwords that Republicans and the so-called “free market” crowd like to use is “choice.” They proclaim that if the government offered a “public option” to compete against private insurance plans that would limit healthcare choices. Yet employees do not have a “choice” now. If you don’t like your employer’s plan, there’s nothing you can do about it.

Employer-sponsored health insurance is never portable. If you lose or leave your job, you lose your insurance. This is why both sides of the healthcare debate are being misleading when they state that “if you like your current coverage and your doctor, you can keep them.” If you change employers, most likely your new employer offers a different insurance plan with a different network of doctors and providers.

Employer-sponsored insurance is group insurance, meaning that you cannot be rejected for any medical reason. But when you start a job with a new employer, your new coverage will not cover a pre-existing medical condition for a certain period of time (anywhere from the first six months to one year depending on what state you live in). For example, a diabetic is responsible for paying for 100% of their treatment costs during the period of exclusion.

The nation’s largest employers self-insure and hire a health insurance company to act as the plan’s administrator. Medium-sized businesses purchase insurance from a health insurance company. And health insurers are allowed to medically underwrite all groups except those companies of 50 employees or less in most states. The “free marketers” try to convince young people to be opposed to healthcare reform by saying they would pay more if everyone in America had to have health insurance. Yet if you’re young and most of your coworkers are middle aged, adverse selection by the health insurers insures your policy’s benefits will be lower and your premiums higher than if you worked for a company where most of the employees are in their twenties.

Even if an employee believes they are following the rules of their employer’s plan, they could face some unexpected expenses. For example, you could have surgery performed by an in-network plan surgeon at an in-network hospital or outpatient facility. But if an out-of-network anesthesiologist or other non-network provider participates in the procedure, your employer’s policy may not cover their costs associated with the procedure. You will be responsible for paying the difference (“balance billing”). Saying you didn’t know will not excuse you from paying the bill.

Many people who know they would not pass medical underwriting or have a chronic condition stay in a job they despise just to keep health coverage for themselves or a family member. Or they won’t change jobs because they cannot afford to pay for care during the pre-existing condition exclusionary period. So how much “freedom” and “choice” does an employee actually have if they live in fear of losing their employer-based coverage?

Individuals:
So what if you don’t have employer-sponsored insurance, you’re not old enough for Medicare, and not poor enough for Medicaid? You could try to obtain an individual policy. Try is the operative word as individual health insurance policies are medically underwritten. Far more applicants will be rejected than accepted.

Most people are under the illusion that only people with a “pre-existing condition” get rejected for individual health insurance. They mistakenly believe that a pre-existing condition refers to a person who is obese, has diabetes, cancer, AIDS, had a heart attack, etc. While this is correct, the public should understand that insurance companies define a pre-existing condition to be anything that they believe could be an underwriting risk. High cholesterol, blood pressure, allergies, skin rashes, irregular menstrual cycles, past drug or alcohol use, treatment for depression, participating in extreme sports – all these things and more are grounds for rejection. Family medical history and any other potentials are treated with the same level of caution by insurers as if they were actual diseases.

Once you’re rejected, your medical history is usually sent to the industry’s Medical Information Bureau (MIB) so it can be shared with other insurance companies so they know you’re a bad risk.

If you do get a policy, you should be aware the insurance company will do everything possible to reject any sizable claim or try to rescind your policy altogether. Insurers will make every effort to get your doctor to acknowledge that your condition probably existed before your insurance policy became effective.

Additionally, individuals should carefully read their “Certificate of Coverage” to understand what their policy’s annual out-of-pocket maximum is as well as the policy’s benefit limits and exclusions. Often individual procedure limits such as outpatient surgeries might be substantially less than your overall policy’s annual and lifetime limits.

Uninsured:
The politicians and the free marketers believe a hospital’s emergency room is the solution to those who can’t obtain insurance. The hospital will stabilize your condition, but then you’re on your own. If you have any financial assets whatsoever, the hospital will seize them to pay for your treatment. If you do not, the insured population will subsidize your care.

Insurers of last result such as state run high risk pools, are not consistently available in all states. Rejected insurance applicants often face waiting lists or high risk pools that are closed to new applicants, and the Blue Cross & Blue Shields who used to be insurers of last resort no longer provide that function in most states.

Medicare:
For all the talk that the nation should not want “government-run healthcare,” I have yet to hear a senior citizen who would willingly give up their government plan.

Seniors on original Medicare pay 20% of the Medicare rate to Medicare providers for treatment. Most seniors on original Medicare purchase a “Medigap” supplemental policy to help defray the 20% seniors are responsible for.

Medicare Advantage Plans were created during the Bush Administration. Private insurers are reimbursed more for these plans, yet seniors are more financially at risk than in traditional Medicare. Seniors in a Medicare Advantage Plan who fail to ensure that all of the providers who treat them are in-network providers, could be faced with a bill if one of the providers involved in their care was out-of- network. Likewise if a senior on a Medicare Advantage HMO does not obtain a written referral from their primary care physician prior to each specialist visit and medical test/treatment.

Seniors who sign up for Medicare Advantage and then want to switch back to the government’s original Medicare program can only do so during open enrollment season each year (November 15 to December 31; coverage takes effect Jan 1). What’s worse is that seniors who switch back to traditional Medicare from a Medicare Advantage plan might not be able to obtain a Medigap policy as these supplemental plans are allowed to medically underwrite. The cheapest premiums are for seniors who take a Medigap policy at the time they become eligible for Medicare. Once you’ve developed a pre-existing condition, it’s too late for Medigap coverage.

Medicare Part D (prescription drug plan) was created during the Bush Administration. In keeping in line with their “free market mantra,” only private insurers offer Part D coverage. Healthcare reform would mitigate the “doughnut hole” in Part D.

Conclusion:
Now that you know what the risks are under our current system, it’s time for everyone to acknowledge that rationing is running rampant and getting worse every year. Isn’t it better to develop a new healthcare system that prohibits the rationing I’ve described while only permitting rationing based upon effectiveness of care?

No disclosures.

WallStreetWeather.net Forecast For Week Of July 27, 2009

Add to Google
Summary Of Last Week’s Influences:
It seems entirely appropriate on the 40th anniversary of the landing on the Moon that we chose to put on our space suits and go to the Moon.” – Art Hogan, chief market strategist, Jeffries & Co.

The Moon represents the stock market’s mood, and last week’s Solar Eclipse in Moon-ruled Cancer propelled the market up, boosting the DJIA back over 9,000. The Dow has gained 38.5% in just under five months. The last time the Dow did this in such a short time was during the recession of the mid 1970s.

I’ve written that I think this bull run is a short term phenomenon, and taking some profits has been a welcome diversion from reflecting that the apex of our space program occurred 40 years ago. As a little girl glued to the TV watching Neil Armstrong step onto the Moon, I thought we would have visited Mars by this point in time!

Apollo 11 occurred when Jupiter (long distance travel) and Uranus (technological advances) were exactly conjoined in peacemaker Libra (hence the plaque left by the astronauts that “we came in peace for all mankind”). As theoretical physicist Michio Kaku wrote in Friday’s Wall Street Journal, the fact that either a comet or asteroid smashed into Jupiter at the time of the Moon landing anniversary, is a reminder that “we should look at the space program as an insurance policy” to transition to being a “two planet species.” Instead of putting money into war, we could foster diplomacy and peace by putting the money into space exploration. Instead of the Vice President acting like a hypocrite and chastising Russia last week, we could be working with the Russians on human expeditions back to the Moon and onto Mars.

Jupiter protecting the Earth from stray asteroids and comets is in line with Jupiter’s energy being associated with benevolence. Jupiter conjoining Neptune in Aquarius this year describes the stock market’s expectation and hope that better economic conditions await us in the not too distant future. Thanks to Mr. Jupiter’s (Bernanke) programs, the Bulls have a valid argument that all of the excess capital has no place else to go but into the financial markets. And the only place cautious Saturn in penny pinching Virgo has shown up is in additional corporate cost cutting to beat bottom line earnings estimates. Yet revenue and overall economic fundamentals remain weak.

Mr. Jupiter told Congress last week that he has an “exit strategy.” Jupiter exaggerates and Neptune is advertising (illusion). Bernanke put his Fed re-appointment campaign into overdrive last week by proclaiming that he saved the financial system from the brink of apocalypse. Lifting the veil of illusion shows that as a Fed Governor, Bernanke encouraged Alan Greenspan to keep interest rates at 1% for an “extended period.”

Jupiter conjoining Neptune creates inflation. To hear Bernanke describe his exit strategy and say the Fed will keep interest rates low for an “extended period,” shows the Fed doesn’t have one. A lack of exit strategy combined with record U.S. debt issuance will create rising bond yields that bring inflation in spite of high unemployment. For consumers who want to save money, Bernanke wants to ensure their money gets no yield unless they once again put themselves out on the risk curve. This is why you can’t keep in power the people who contributed to the mess in the first place! It’s also why the Fed should not be in charge of consumer protection, as the Fed’s loyalty to the banks will always trump the interests of consumers.

Summary Of This Week’s Influences:
Jupiter and Neptune are prominent this week as Venus (money/values) in Gemini harmonizes with Jupiter and Neptune on Monday and Tuesday, and Mercury in Leo opposes Jupiter and Neptune on Thursday and Friday. This could create some outsized moves in currencies (as Mercury-ruled Gemini represents exchanging one value for another), along with equities (Leo rules the stock market), and oil (Neptune). And perhaps bringing an unexpected surprise (or sudden attraction), Venus will challenge Uranus in Pisces on Tuesday.

Keeping in line with Jupiter/Neptune and inflation, the Treasury will sell $205 billion in securities this week – an all time record. Planetary oppositions represent opposing forces/ viewpoints. Mercury opposing Jupiter and Neptune reflects whether or not investors have faith in Bernanke’s exit strategy.

Venus enters Cancer Friday evening. Consumers are focused on “home sweet home” until August 26, spending on comfort food and sweets and inexpensive items that make them feel nurtured and secure.

While the Bulls probably still have momentum, Jupiter/Neptune’s euphoria could begin to encounter unexpected turbulence like the surprise asteroid or comet strike into Jupiter last week.

Monday, July 27, 2009
Positive, but market could become weak in mid to late morning.

Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Positive, then choppy/mixed before rebounding in afternoon.

Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Negative; choppy/mixed to improving conditions in afternoon (DJIA weakest).

Thursday, July 30, 2009
Negative.

Friday, July 31, 2009
Positive bias, but could weaken going into the close.

Federal Reserve Protects Its Turf For Fear Of Getting Eclipsed

Add to Google Published by WallStreetWeather.net

A Solar Eclipse is essentially a supercharged New Moon, as the Moon temporarily blocks the Sun’s light from reaching the Earth.

Today’s Solar Eclipse marks the second time in the last month the New Moon has occurred in Cancer, the sign of the Moon’s domain. Two New Moons in the same sign, particularly one that is the longest Solar Eclipse of the century occurring when the Moon is perigee,* indicate profound changes are underway. Cancer and the Moon represent what we need to feel emotionally and physically secure. Families or a group are like a tribe. And like the Cancer’s symbol the crab, the tribe utilizes its pincers to protect its home turf.

Since September 2007, I have written how Pluto in Capricorn would transform the purpose and scope of the Federal Reserve. With the Cancer New Moon and Solar Eclipse impacting major planetary energies in the chart of the Federal Reserve, the Fed is feeling somewhat vulnerable lately and has taken some unprecedented steps to convince the public and foreign investors that the central bank is not on the path of desecrating the US dollar. Treasury Secretary and former NewYork Fed president Timothy Geithner has been traveling the world trying to salvage confidence in the dollar amongst increasing fears of runaway inflation.

Matters have become so serious the Fed felt they need additional firepower. The Fed is independent, but it still reports to Congress. American International Group (AIG), Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) are forbidden from lobbying the government, but the Fed is not. Yesterday Linda Robertson, who headed Enron’s lobbying office from 2000 until the energy company’s collapse from an accounting scandal in 2002, began her job as the Fed’s first lobbyist.

Apparently part of the new lobbying strategy was for Bernanke to pre-empt his semi-annual testimony before the House Financial Services Committee this morning by taking the unprecedented step of writing an op-ed piece in today’s Wall Street Journal on “The Fed’s Exit Strategy.”

Venus in Gemini challenging Saturn in Virgo today reflected the Chairman’s cautious statements about the economy and the employment picture. Bernanke’s emphasis that “economic conditions are not likely to warrant tighter monetary policy for an extended period” might reassure bond buyers, but a closer examination of his four point exit strategy leads to inflation.

Here’s how Bernanke intends to keep the fed funds rate at nearly zero while attempting to reduce reserves and drain excess market liquidity, and why it won’t work:

1. “Arrange large-scale reverse repurchase agreements.” The problem is that repo agreements only temporarily withdraw money from the system.

2. The Fed has to stop monetizing the debt, not “take care to ensure that we can achieve our policy objectives without reliance on the Treasury.” The sale of massive amounts of treasuries alone could mop up substantial excess liquidity.

3. Bernanke wants to “offer term deposits to banks,” similar to bank CDs to customers. In order to get banks to participate, the Fed would have to offer banks a high enough interest rate equivalent to the current commercial paper rate plus a high enough spread to make the transaction profitable.

4. “Selling a portion of the Fed’s holdings of long-term securities into the open market” would be the fastest way for the Fed to ensure its demise. How does the Fed think the public would react to the central bank incurring huge losses on securities purchased when interest rates were extraordinarily low? Imagine Bernanke going back on 60 Minutes to say that the mortgages the Fed purchased with a 4.5% interest rate were sold when prevailing mortgages jumped to 6%, at least a 30% loss in value to taxpayers. The more practical approach would be just to let the Fed’s securities mature without renewing them, while the Treasury absorbs excess liquidity by financing the massive deficit.

As today’s Wall Street Journal outlines in “Bernanke Heads to Capitol Battling Calls to Tame Fed”, the Fed is preoccupied with keeping a grip on its power while Congress is warming to the idea of going beyond the GAO’s audit of the Fed over its role in AIG to considering legislation that would audit the Fed in its entirety.

Bernanke has admitted in past Congressional testimony that the Fed doesn’t usually obtain prices before hiring financial advisors. After auditing the Fed’s role in AIG, The GAO could investigate the millions paid to BlackRock (BLK) to manage various Fed programs, including $43 million managing the Fed’s “Maiden Lane” funds for one year that holds illiquid assets from Bear Stearns and AIG. (If the assets are intended to be held for a long time, what services is BlackRock actually providing?) And let’s not forget PIMCO ($3 million per quarter) and all the lawyers (up to $1,055 an hour) and Ernest & Young providing $60 million (at $775 an hour) in accounting advice relating to AIG. And Morgan Stanley (MS) got $4 million in advisory fees and has been collecting $2.5 million each quarter since October for being primary financial advisor for any divestitures or public offerings of AIG units.

Naturally the Fed does not want any unpleasant results from a GAO audit splashed across news headlines. Even if Congress fails to pass Rep. Paul’s legislation to audit the Fed, the Fed won’t elicit any public support by continuing its campaign against consumer protection. The time has come not to abolish the Federal Reserve entirely, but to restructure it by separating consumer protection from the Fed’s role in “promoting a sound banking system.” While both objectives appear to coincide, no Federal Reserve Chairman has actually acted in a way to promote the two together. To quote a phrase often used by President Obama,** “it’s never the right time” for the Fed to raise interest rates or fight inflation. This is why the Fed’s dual mandate should be simplified to only maintaining price stability.

*The time of the month when the Moon is at its closest point to Earth. Perigee occurring at the Solar Eclipse is likely to create higher than normal tides over the next few days.

**The President has said this to those who oppose reforming the healthcare system now.

No disclosures.

WallStreetWeather.net Forecast For Week Of July 21, 2009 (Cancer Solar Eclipse Edition)

Add to Google
Summary Of Last Week’s Influences:
Venus and Mars in dualistic Gemini continued the previous week’s trend that market moving news would come in twos.

Markets got off to a bullish start last week after the usually bearish financial analyst Meredith Whitney declared Goldman Sachs (GS) a “Buy.” Better than expected earnings continued from JPMorgan Chase (JPM), IBM, and even SuperTARPed Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C) (although their numbers were padded from asset sales). The major indices rallied Thursday afternoon following media reports that the other infamous bear, economics professor Nouriel “Dr. Doom” Roubini, said at a conference that “the recession will be over this year.” Roubini issued a statement after the close that his views “were taken out of context.”

As a Wall Street Journal article about Roubini’s remarks points out, algorithmic trading patterns comprise up to 75% of daily trading volume (which for several weeks has been lower anyway). The problem with “algos” is that these trading programs react on any news that is likely to influence the market, whereas a human would need time to interpret what Roubini had said and/or determine if the info was being accurately reported.

Major planetary alignments such as the current influence of Jupiter (exaggeration; optimism) conjoining Neptune (hopes; rumors) in Aquarius (computer programs) will showcase the flaws of programmed trading. How many of these programs are set to sell everything if the S&P500 hits the 1000 level that many pundits are projecting before moving lower? This type of trading could experience a mega blowup this year, possibly as soon as the time of the August 20 Leo New Moon.

Even though the House Oversight Committee intends to continue its investigation into the government’s role in the Bank of America/Merrill Lynch merger by calling FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair and former SEC Chairman Christopher Cox to testify when Congress returns from August recess, it’s pretty clear what happened. Former Treasury secretary Hank Paulson admitted to the Committee last week that “of course I told him (Ken Lewis) the Fed had the authority to remove and replace him and the Board.” Paulson more bluntly echoed the testimony of Ken Lewis and Ben Bernanke before the committee that the ends justified the means by preventing additional systemic risk.

Summary Of This Week’s Influences:
As yesterday’s Journal observed: “The stock market is recovering not so much on signs of real economic progress, but on relief that disaster may have been averted.” In “Eclipses and Other Planetary Pair Ups Will Bring Back The Bear Market By Autumn,” I explained that issues are likely to be viewed differently during the period between eclipses (July 7 through August 5).

A Solar Eclipse is a “supercharged” New Moon. The New Moon on June 22 occurred at the beginning of Cancer and the July 21 Solar Eclipse at 10:35 PM EDT occurs at the end of the sign. The eclipse marks a new beginning in matters that have existed for quite some time but have yet to be properly dealt with. Cancer represents food, land, agriculture, real estate, consumers/consumer staples, and domestic security. Cancer represents the foundation. With the Solar Eclipse forming a stressful alignment to Pluto in Capricorn and with Uranus the reformer challenging Pluto, tinkering around the edges regarding these matters will prove unsatisfactory this fall as Mars in Cancer will fully activate the eclipse October 15. These energies particularly affect the USA, as the Solar Eclipse opposes the USA’s natal Pluto located in the sector of the USA chart representing the economy and the financial system.

Venus (banking and finance) will challenge Saturn in Virgo at the time of the eclipse. Taurus (Venus) rules the banking/economic sector of the Solar Eclipse chart set for the US. These energies relate to the points raised by John Authers in his Long View column in yesterday’s FT (“Return of the banks’ golden age is an illusion”).

Neptune represents illusion, and with Jupiter still closely aligned with Neptune, investors are under a big illusion that the banks second quarter profits are the beginning of a new financial “golden age.” Saturn represents traditions, chronic conditions, and economic contraction. Saturn in Virgo (2007-2010) represents rising unemployment as jobs are in short supply. Consumers comprise 70% of the U.S. economy and if their income is cut, credit card and mortgage defaults rise. Saturn opposite Neptune (2006-2007) caused the housing bubble to burst, and Saturn opposite Uranus (2008-2010) brought the sudden restriction of credit that shook up the financial system last fall.

Gemini represents two things, and Venus in Gemini challenging Saturn in Virgo at the eclipse indicates that in general, bank profits will be lower going forward. Saturn is the government and rules and regulations; Virgo is about accountability. With Pluto in Saturn-ruled Capricorn in the sector of the Solar Eclipse representing the President, and Saturn ruling the area representing Congress, Washington will pass legislation that like Saturn’s giant rings, reigns in the banks ability to juice profits through credit derivatives and other opaque (Pluto-ruled) non-traditional banking activities. As I have written before, the trend will move towards back to basic banking with shareholders rewarded with fat dividends.

The planetary influences described will continue to raise food prices and other consumer staples. Neptune rules inflation. With the Solar Eclipse conjoining the Federal Reserve’s Neptune, the Fed will likely prove that once again it does not have the ability or the will to prevent inflation and inflation expectations from coming unhinged. (Last week Treasury Secretary Geithner went to the Middle East to convey the Administration’s “strong dollar” policy to allay investors’ fears that their U.S. debt will get diluted.) Bernanke will have ample time to elaborate on the Fed’s view during his semi-annual testimony to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Morgan Stanley (MS) reports earnings this week, and although their stock chart is not nearly as favorable as Goldman’s, I think that they will be the winner and Goldman the loser in the inflation/deflation debate.

Monday, July 20, 2009
Positive.

Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Negative early. Becomes choppy/mixed improving to positive going into the close.

Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Choppy/mixed conditions; swings from moderately negative to moderately positive.

Thursday, July 23, 2009
Positive.

Friday, July 24, 2009
Negative.

No disclosures.

Goldman’s Immense Success Overshadows Its Political Sensitivities

Add to Google Published by WallStreetWeather.net

The stock market suddenly turned bullish on Monday after Meredith Whitney upped Goldman Sachs (GS) from “Neutral” to “Buy” with a twelve month price target of $186. Appearing on CNBC’s Squawk Box, the normally bearish financial analyst said the recommendation was “a bearish call but a bullish call on the stock.” Whitney said that as the number one underwriter of bonds now that Lehman is gone, Goldman has advantage in this “tsunami of debt issuance” economic environment.

With Pluto (debt) in Capricorn (mountains), the correct phrase is “mountains of debt issuance.” “Tsunami” describes rapid shocks to the system contributed by Uranus in Pisces, the sign representing credit, bubbles, and the oceans.

Yesterday Goldman reported record quarterly net revenues of $13.76 billion; second quarter net earnings were $3.44 billion, or $4.93 per share, which was more than Goldman earned in 2008. Goldman recorded record net revenues from FICC* ($6.80B), Equities ($3.18B), and equity underwriting ($736M). Commissions were up 5%, on higher customer volume. CFO David Viniar said during yesterday’s earnings call that now that the hedge fund redemption cycle “is pretty much through” you should “start seeing money flowing into hedge funds.”

Although Goldman ranked first in global M&A deals this year, the firm hopes that M&A activity begins to pick up as “dialogue has not translated into deals for awhile.” Viniar’s economic outlook was cautious, emphasizing “the world is still not a great place.” When asked during the Q&A if their FICC trading spreads are likely to continue for the near term, Viniar responded that “there is no normal.”

Goldman has managed to execute its business flawlessly and must continue to do so in order to propel the stock back to its 2007 record high of $250.70. (Goldman closed yesterday at $149.66, just shy of its “Whitney Day” close.)

What’s blatantly missing from Goldman’s blowout quarter and year to date earnings is good public relations. Once again Viniar reiterated early on in the call that Goldman has “no exposure to retail consumer business.” Goldman chooses to forget the “missing time” in the autumn of 2008 when it became a bank holding company in order to save its own skin. Goldman might not have needed or wanted $10 billion from the TARP, but TARP money gave Goldman access to something it did take full advantage of: $29 billion** of FDIC-guaranteed debt issuance. And Goldman got more help from the Federal Reserve when the Fed forced AIG to pay Goldman ($13B) and other counterparties the full value of their underlying CDOs instead of negotiating a reduced payout.

Goldman may very well employ the smartest people in the room, but the fact is that Goldman could not have regained its footing – let alone have survived – without taxpayer assistance. Having returned the TARP money and “in discussions with the Treasury on the warrants,” Goldman’s attitude is that it can put the past behind it and continue to accelerate risk taking that by value-at-risk (VAR) has reached record levels. Goldman's only concession to the current financial climate is operating at lower leverage.

Goldman set aside $6.65 billion in compensation and benefits expenses during the second quarter. At this rate, that would work out to a record $770,000 for each of its 29,400 employees.*** And the need to pass healthcare reform to insure all Americans starkly contrasts with Chairman & CEO Lloyd Blankfein’s health insurance valued at $40,543 a year. As unemployment rises and more Americans lose their health insurance or file for “medical bankruptcy," Goldman would be wise to accrue deferred compensation until overall economic conditions have sustainably improved.

Goldman and Wall Street’s return to “business as usual” increases my conviction that a second financial crisis is not that far away. The opposition of Saturn (life lessons; government) and Uranus (systemic shocks) crossing over Goldman’s stock chart Moon/Venus opposition in August through September, and Saturn opposing the area of Goldman’s natal and progressed****charts representing its reputation, might cause investors to be fearful if Congress decides to clamp down “AIG-style” on Goldman’s compensation culture. Or Goldman’s stock could decline in value in reaction to an overall market decline that I believe is a distinct possibility this fall.

*fixed income, currency, and commodities

**Barron’s: How Do You Spell Sweet Deal?” (4/20/09)

***Of course that amount wouldn’t be evenly distributed!

**** A mathematical calculation that moves the planets forward in time as a method of prediction.

No disclosure.

WallStreetWeather.net Forecast For Week of July 13, 2009

Add to Google
Summary Of Last Week’s Influences:
Venus (money) entered dualistic Gemini early Sunday morning, and talk of a second economic stimulus package became the topic du jour on the Sunday morning talk shows. (Never mind that only 10% of the original $787 billion stimulus has been put to work.) Financial markets became worried on Tuesday after Laura D’Andrea Tyson, an Obama economic advisor and former Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisors during the Clinton administration, advocated the U.S. should start planning for a second stimulus. Born with Venus in Gemini and the Sun (self-identity) in Cancer conjoining the USA’s natal Jupiter, it’s not surprising that Ms. Tyson advocates expanding government spending and is not the least concerned about inflation!

Neptune rules oil; Mars in Taurus challenging Jupiter and Neptune on Monday began a rapid selloff in crude that closed down 10% for the week to $59.89 a barrel. Oil was driven down by two issues: rising inventories in a weak economic climate and the CFTC proposing to crack down on speculation. Venus in Gemini is very changeable about financial matters; exactly one year ago the CFTC told Congress there was “no evidence” speculators were bidding up crude prices. The truth is that the Federal Reserve’s overly accommodative monetary policy (low interest rates and E-Z money) encourage reckless speculation.

Tuesday’s Lunar Eclipse in Capricorn opposed the USA’s natal Cancer Sun and challenged the USA Saturn. This brought some sobering statistics concerning consumer economics. The American Bankers Association reported that credit card and home equity lines of credit delinquencies hit a record high in the first quarter of this year. June same store sales were lower for the tenth consecutive month and the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment gauge was lower as well.

Jupiter and Neptune conjoined for the second time on Friday. Unlike their first conjunction on May 27 that represented excessive optimism and hope that “green shoots” had sprouted, Neptune turning retrograde* May 29 followed by Jupiter on June 15, has brought a big dose of introspection over the fantasy of the economy turning the corner versus reality.

The period between the eclipses and the second Jupiter/Neptune alignment occurring in between represents a malaise where it can be difficult to move forward. Not all the facts are evident so sentiment fluctuates rapidly; emotions run high as people tend to stubbornly cling to their most ingrained ideologies. That will likely change in late August.

Summary Of This Week’s Influences:
Venus (July 5-31) and Mars (July 11-August 25) in Mercury-ruled Gemini tend to bring a lot of talk and calls for policy actions on multiple fronts. News can be contradictory; is it gossip or fact?
Banks will begin to report second quarter earnings this week, including “superTARPED” Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C), as well as JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and “bank holding company?” Goldman Sachs (GS).

Congress will hold hearings on whether or not hedge funds should be regulated. That should have happened in 1998 when the Fed bailed out Long Term Capital Management! And just last week LTCM founder John Meriwether announced he is shutting down his Relative Value Opportunity II fund due to heavy losses. But with his natal Sun, Venus, Saturn, and Pluto in speculative Leo challenging Jupiter in Pluto-ruled Scorpio, you can bet it won’t be long until he’s back with yet another fund for masochistic investors.

Other hearings will be about the creation of a Consumer Financial Protection Agency, and other aspects of the Obama Administration’s financial regulatory overhaul. For all of Wall Street’s resistance to creating a consumer regulator, the origins of the idea are in former Treasury Secretary Paulson’s Blueprint for regulatory structure. Why would the former head of Goldman Sachs care at all about consumers? Because as we have witnessed, exotic consumer financial products created systemic risk.

After hearing testimony from Ken Lewis and Ben Bernanke, Hank Paulson will appear before the House Oversight Committee’s hearing on the government’s role in the Bank of America/Merrill Lynch merger on Thursday.

Monday, July 13, 2009
Negative trend bias.

Tuesday, July 14, 2009
Swings from choppy/mixed to positive.

Wednesday, July 15, 2009
Negative early; starts improving around midday/early afternoon and turns upward going into the close.

Thursday, July 16, 2009
Positive but begins to deteriorate approaching the close.

Friday, July 17, 2009 (Options Expiration)
Market strongest in afternoon.

*Planets do not really move backwards, but appear to from Earth’s vantage point.

No disclosures.

WallStreetWeather.net Forecast For Week Of July 6, 2009

Add to Google
Summary Of Last Week’s Influences:
A light volume holiday week and Uranus turning retrograde* brought some unexpected surprises that shook up the stock market. After the indices posted their best quarterly performance since the fourth quarter of 2003, more analysts are coming to believe that the market got a bit ahead of itself.

Uranus is futuristic, or what the market calls a leading indicator. Employment is viewed by the market as a lagging indicator as companies are reluctant to hire until after their business begins to show evidence of sustainable growth. With the “shock and awe” energies of Uranus dominating last week, the market was surprised that the jobs lost in June was about 100,000 more than the market anticipated. Saturn represents contraction, and Saturn in Virgo since September 2007 represents contraction in the workforce. Since the NBER officially declared that the recession began in December 2007, the number of unemployed since then has increased by 7.2 million. It is unlikely employment will begin to grow until Saturn leaves Virgo in July 2010.

The key piece of data from the June payroll report is that the average workweek dropped to 33 hours, the lowest level since data began to be recorded in 1964. This reflects companies retaining workers but reducing their hours. Less hours = less income, and less income = less money for discretionary spending. Another factor is that if a worker’s hours get reduced to part time status their healthcare coverage could be in jeopardy.

I had written in last week’s Forecast that Uranus retrograde could bring “computer system disruptions/outages.” The NYSE remained open until 4:15 PM Thursday in order to ensure that all orders were processed after “system irregularities” caused several stocks to be halted just after 10:30 AM for five minutes due to a technical glitch in the exchange system’s network. According to CNBC, all extended session trades at the NYSE had to be processed manually.

Uranus relates to rebellious and unconventional behavior. As Uranus represents sharp and rapid price spikes (in either direction), the transit since 2003 of Uranus in Pisces has brought sharp swings in the price of oil. WTI Crude hit an 8 month high of $73.38 on the futures market in the early morning on Tuesday following Brent oil’s spike from $71 to $73.50 in one hour after contracts for more than 16 million barrels were traded. According to the FT, that is about double the daily production of Saudi Arabia, and an extreme spike compared to the normal 500,000 barrels typically traded at that time of day. Oil was down 10% Thursday from Tuesday’s spike partly due to the fact that a “rogue” trader at PMV Oil Associates in London had accounted for at least half of the futures buying; other traders then climbed aboard thinking they must have missed some breaking geopolitical news.

Saturn in Virgo exactly conjoined California’s natal Sun (identity) on July 1, reflecting the state’s $24 billion budget deficit. Jupiter and Neptune conjoining California’s progressed** Sun in Aquarius reflect the inability of Republicans and Democrats to overcome their extreme political ideologies to make the hard choices necessary to break the budgetary impasse. This has forced California to issue its own currency in the form of IOUs.

Summary Of This Week’s Influences:
NOTE: For more information on this week’s influences, see my posts on “Eclipses and Other Planetary Pair Ups Will Bring Back The Bear Market By Autumn” and “Wall Street and the Consumer in Parallel Universes.”

The indices reached their high for the year on June 12, the last trading day before Jupiter turned retrograde. Since then the indices have been trading in a sideways but downward trend. We are now in the period between eclipses through August 5 that tends to create unsettled conditions and reverse trends. Although Tuesday’s Full Moon is a “milder” Lunar Eclipse, the Full Moon in Saturn-ruled Capricorn raises worries about the health of the consumer and residential and commercial real estate and their underlying securities. The Lunar Eclipse affects the USA’s natal Sun in Cancer and Saturn in Libra, reinforcing the theme of growth constraints.

Meanwhile Jupiter and Neptune conjoin in Aquarius for the second time. This planetary pairing played a big role in the market’s spring run up, but with both planets retrograde and separating after Friday, their influence now can exaggerate the pessimism seeping back into the market.

On a personal level, the second Jupiter/Neptune conjunction represents a good time to ask yourself, what is your truth? Are you willing to embark on a new journey into unexplored territory in order to free yourself of the illusions that can be comforting because they are familiar yet hold you back from bringing a vision into reality? The eclipse energies relate to this theme as they highlight the issues of personal needs, security issues, family, career and public reputation.

The week begins with Mars in Taurus challenging Jupiter and Neptune. Mars challenging Neptune shatters financial illusions, especially regarding credit issues. The last time Mars in Taurus challenged Neptune in Aquarius was on July 23, 2007 when the market reacted bearishly to Countrywide’s (BAC) earnings call after CEO Angelo Mozilo told analysts that “prime is not prime.”

Alcoa’s (AA) earnings release after Wednesday’s close marks the start of earnings season which will get fully underway next week. Saturn in Virgo conjoining Alcoa’s stock chart progressed Venus, challenging its Sun in Gemini, and a Saturn return in September will tend to keep the stock under pressure during this quarter. This earnings season the markets are going to need more than numbers and projections that were “less bad” than expected to compel the markets to move higher.

President Obama will attend the G8 meeting in Italy on Wednesday where Russia plans to resume talks begun at the April G20 meeting on creating a mix of regional reserve currencies as an alternative to the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Brazil and China will send officials to the meeting that will also be attended by India’s PM Singh. Bloomberg reports that an economic advisor to Singh is urging the government to hold fewer US dollars in India’s foreign currency reserves.

The Treasury will sell $136 billion of “junk” this week, including $8 billion in 10 year TIPS on Monday, $35 billion 3 year notes on Tuesday, and $19 billion 10 year notes on Wednesday, and $11 billion in 30 year bonds on Thursday. Bernanke could never buy enough Treasuries to make up for reduced purchases of U.S. debt by sovereign nations should they decide to act on their rhetoric.

The market has a bearish bias, particularly during the first half of the week. The strong influence of the Jupiter/Neptune conjunction is likely to bring big market moves.

Monday, July 6, 2009
Negative.

Tuesday, July 7, 2009
Negative.

Wednesday July 8, 2009
Negative, but could see improving conditions approaching the close.

Thursday, July 9, 2009
Negative to choppy/mixed conditions.

Friday, July 10, 2009
Market improves as day progresses.

*Planets do not really move backwards, but appear to from Earth’s vantage point.

**A mathematical calculation that moves the planets forward in time as a method of prediction.

No disclosures.

JPM CEO Jamie Dimon Should Know Protecting Consumers Is The Path To Long Term Profitability

Add to Google Published by WallStreetWeather.net

As JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon recently wrote in The Wall Street Journal (“A Unified Bank Regulator Is a Good Start”), “the gulf that grew between Wall Street and Main Street has hurt everyone.” That’s because regulators never chose to make the connection that having strong consumer protections would not only help consumers, but also protect banks from losing money due to their “innovation.”

The Obama administration’s proposal to create a Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA) to regulate consumer financial products is a major component of its plan for financial regulatory reform. Big banks from JPMorgan Chase to thousands of regional and community banks are lobbying to defeat the plan as it makes its way through Congress.

Saturn symbolizes regulatory structures, the past, and the status quo. Saturn’s sojourn in Virgo represents the need to clean up the mess after the balloons burst at the credit party when Saturn in Leo completed its cycle opposing Neptune in Aquarius in late June 2007. From November 2008 through April 2010, Saturn in Virgo is opposing Uranus in Pisces. Both of these energies signal a major cleansing that must take place, as the failures of the past must be allowed to dissolve to make way for a new regulatory structure that serves the interests of everyone. Like Jamie Dimon’s op-ed, these energies also mean that those in authoritative positions will attempt to create the illusion they are for reform (at least in the areas that would benefit their business), while actively lobbying behind the scenes against any attempts at meaningful overall reform.

Pisces and its planetary ruler Neptune relate to addictions and credit. With the USA’s natal Mars in Gemini challenging the USA Neptune in Virgo, the banks would like nothing better than to keep Americans actively using credit to support the banks addiction to the interest and associated fees the cards generate. Lenders collected a record $18.1 billion in credit card penalty fees, a 69% increase from 2003, when Uranus entered Pisces. Banks keep raising fees and interest rates on cards to offset rising borrower defaults. According to Fitch Ratings, losses on U.S. credit cards hit a record 10.44% in June.

Gemini and Virgo are ruled by Mercury which is located in the area of the USA chart representing debt. With the USA Mercury in Cancer opposing Pluto, the planetary ruler of debt located in the area of the USA chart representing banking and finance, the voices of consumers have been overwhelmed by the money and power of the financial industry.

As the largest credit card issuer in the USA with card services comprising 23% of its managed net revenue by line of business,* JPMorgan Chase has a vested interest in mitigating any damages that the CFPA could impose on their fee and penalty generation. With his Sun in Pisces exactly opposing the USA Neptune in Virgo, it is unbecoming that Jamie Dimon will often speak of “doing the right thing,” yet this superstar of finance earns revenue by entrapping customers in products they don’t stand an even chance of escaping.

In essence the banks are running their own type of Ponzi scheme. After a bank collects an outrageous rate of interest and fees, Joe defaults. Now the bank will need to acquire Jane as a new customer to pay for Joe's loss, and so on. It was easy to attract new customers as home prices continued to rise, but the scheme unraveled in the post-bubble era of rising unemployment. (Saturn in Virgo represents contraction in the workforce.)

Saturn in Virgo represents government enacting regulations that particularly benefit what politicians like to refer to as “working class Americans.” Saturn in Virgo will transit the USA Mars and Neptune in August before forming a third opposition to Uranus in mid September. The House Financial Services Committee wants to complete work on the bill to establish the CFPA by the end of July to go to the Senate in September. House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank told The New York Times: “Anyone who thinks we’re not going to create this agency is mistaken. The American public wants it.” After all the bad blood created by bank bailouts, does the usually politically astute Jamie Dimon and other financial institutions want to create a public relations nightmare for themselves by going against the tide of consumer sentiment? With Saturn opposing Dimon’s natal Sun in late August, this is not a good time for the JPM chief executive to actively oppose the government.

The Times writes that “Administration officials said the proposal would create a ‘level playing field’ and provide the same regulation for particular consumer products regardless of what kind of financial institution was selling them.” (Bolded emphasis mine.)

On October 29, Saturn will move into Libra, the sign symbolized by equally balanced scales representing fairness. Saturn rules foundations, and as Michael Barr, assistant Treasury secretary for financial institutions, told the Times: “The agency will be able to get to the root of the mortgage crisis that we saw in the past. It will be able to go in to examine, supervise the operations of previously unregulated parts of the sector.”

Pluto rules death and all types of debt. What good is a mortgage (mort=dead/gage =pledge) with an interest rate so high the homeowner cannot pay it and the home ends up in foreclosure? It hurts both borrower and lender. Saturn represents karma, the law of cause and effect. The cycle of Saturn in Libra challenging Pluto in Saturn-ruled Capricorn beginning in mid November will bring further lessons to financial institutions who beyond receiving government assistance, have a societal obligation to correct the damage they have done. Saturn conjoining the USA chart’s Midheaven (Obama Administration) and Saturn and Pluto challenging the USA Venus (banking and finance) over the next year will bring greater regulation to the financial industry, forcing profits to come from a return to more conventional or conservative banking. The Pluto in Sagittarius (1995-2008) era of laissez-faire finance is finished.

If as Dimon writes, banks are to “re-earn the trust of the American people,” then JPMorgan Chase and all the other financial institutions opposing the creation of the CFPA should “do the right thingnow and stop increasing rates and fees in order to squeeze as much short term profit while they can before the CARD legislation takes effect in February. Decimating the banks retail customers is never a way to generate long term profitability for the institutions, as recent history has aptly demonstrated. In reality, the Consumer Financial Protection Agency will save banks from themselves.

*Following JPM’s acquisition of WaMu. Source: Jamie Dimon Letter to Shareholders, 2008 JPM Annual Report.

No disclosure.